Modeling Sparse and Bursty Vulnerability Sightings: Forecasting under Data Constraints

Understanding and anticipating vulnerability-related activity is a major challenge in cyber threat intelligence. This work investigates whether vulnerability sightings, such as proof-of-concept releases, detection templates, or online discussions, can be forecast over time. Building on our earlie...

CVE-2025-11754

creationtimestamp| type| source ---|---|--- 2026-02-20 00:20:10+00:00| seen| https://bsky.app/profile/cyberhub.blog/post/3mfatl75sbk2q 2026-02-20 01:32:06+00:00| seen| https://bsky.app/profile/thehackerwire.bsky.social/post/3mfaxls27xa2s...

CVE-2025-31644

creationtimestamp| type| source ---|---|--- 2025-05-07 22:23:00+00:00| seen| https://t.me/DarkWebInformerCVEAlerts/15443 2025-05-07 23:30:25+00:00| seen| https://bsky.app/profile/2rZiKKbOU3nTafniR2qMMSE0gwZ.activitypub.awakari.com.ap.brid.gy/post/3lomkcxrvqak2 2025-05-08 00:26:17+00:00| seen|...

CVE-2025-22235

creationtimestamp| type| source ---|---|--- 2025-04-25 07:36:27+00:00| seen| https://bsky.app/profile/snicoll.be/post/3lnmplyg7ms23 2025-04-26 02:12:41+00:00| seen| https://bsky.app/profile/pmloik.bsky.social/post/3lnony6qhj42b 2025-04-28 08:10:50+00:00| seen|...

CVE-2025-43955

creationtimestamp| type| source ---|---|--- 2025-04-20 19:41:44+00:00| seen| https://bsky.app/profile/2rZiKKbOU3nTafniR2qMMSE0gwZ.activitypub.awakari.com.ap.brid.gy/post/3lnbfs7slbz42 2025-04-20 22:49:07+00:00| seen| https://bsky.app/profile/cve.skyfleet.blue/post/3lnbqbjxoj72d 2025-04-20...

CVE-2025-1048

creationtimestamp| type| source ---|---|--- 2025-04-09 03:00:00+00:00| seen| http://www.zerodayinitiative.com/advisories/ZDI-25-223/ 2025-04-23 18:48:05+00:00| seen| https://mastodon.social/users/CyberSignaler/statuses/114388768177743771 2025-04-23 20:14:34+00:00| seen|...

CVE-2025-3259

creationtimestamp| type| source ---|---|--- 2025-04-04 17:36:07+00:00| published-proof-of-concept| https://t.me/DarkWebInformerCVEAlerts/10504 2025-04-04 18:16:35+00:00| seen| https://infosec.exchange/users/cR0w/statuses/114281060422401284 2025-04-04 18:16:35+00:00| seen|...

CVE-2024-11042

creationtimestamp| type| source ---|---|--- 2025-03-20 11:40:22+00:00| seen| https://bsky.app/profile/cyberalerts.bsky.social/post/3lksmh7do2f2u 2025-04-15 21:02:25+00:00| seen| https://bsky.app/profile/beikokucyber.bsky.social/post/3lmuxxzm5tp2e...

CVE-2025-24895

creationtimestamp| type| source ---|---|--- 2025-02-17 13:25:42+00:00| published-proof-of-concept| https://github.com/italia/cie-aspnetcore/security/advisories/GHSA-vq63-8f72-f486 2025-02-18 19:16:19+00:00| seen| https://bsky.app/profile/cve-notifications.bsky.social/post/3lihxwvee2w2n 2025-02-18...

CVE-2024-11771

creationtimestamp| type| source ---|---|--- 2025-02-11 15:23:30+00:00| seen| https://infosec.exchange/users/screaminggoat/statuses/113985939700497507 2025-02-11 15:25:14+00:00| seen| https://infosec.exchange/users/cve/statuses/113985946487899400 2025-02-11 15:40:14+00:00| seen|...

CVE-2024-7097

creationtimestamp| type| source ---|---|--- 2025-01-15 12:42:27+00:00| confirmed| https://github.com/projectdiscovery/nuclei-templates/tree/main/http/cves/2024/CVE-2024-7097.yaml 2025-01-19 21:02:01+00:00| seen| https://bsky.app/profile/beikokucyber.bsky.social/post/3lg4pub2zlq2x 2025-02-02...

CVE-2024-54094

creationtimestamp| type| source ---|---|--- 2024-12-10 14:56:02+00:00| seen| https://infosec.exchange/users/vuldb/statuses/113629106157954588 2024-12-10 16:38:09+00:00| seen| https://t.me/cvedetector/12502 2024-12-12 11:00:00+00:00| seen|...

CVE-2013-5948

creationtimestamp| type| source ---|---|--- 2024-11-29 00:00:00+00:00| seen| The Shadowserver honeypot/common-vulnerabilities - 2024-11-29 2024-12-02 00:00:00+00:00| seen| The Shadowserver honeypot/common-vulnerabilities - 2024-12-02 2024-12-14 00:00:00+00:00| seen| The Shadowserver...

CVE-2024-51581

creationtimestamp| type| source ---|---|--- 2024-11-10 09:09:17+00:00| seen| https://infosec.exchange/users/cve/statuses/113457873377464562 2024-11-10 09:12:33+00:00| seen| https://infosec.exchange/users/cve/statuses/113457886220358945 2024-11-10 10:49:54+00:00| seen| https://t.me/cvedetector/104...

CVE-2018-0127

creationtimestamp| type| source ---|---|--- 2024-10-28 00:00:00+00:00| seen| The Shadowserver honeypot/common-vulnerabilities - 2024-10-28 2024-10-29 00:00:00+00:00| exploited| The Shadowserver honeypot/exploited-vulnerabilities - 2024-10-29 2024-11-11 00:00:00+00:00| exploited| The Shadowserver...

CVE-2024-24328

creationtimestamp| type| source ---|---|--- 2024-01-30 16:22:09+00:00| seen| https://t.me/ctinow/176042 2024-02-01 08:16:33+00:00| seen| https://t.me/ctinow/177365 2024-02-22 08:08:03+00:00| seen| https://t.me/ctinow/190518 2025-02-12 00:00:00+00:00| seen| The Shadowserver...

CVE-2023-28343

creationtimestamp| type| source ---|---|--- 2023-03-14 23:23:21+00:00| seen| https://t.me/cibsecurity/60030 2023-03-21 11:46:50+00:00| published-proof-of-concept| https://t.me/GithubRedTeam/4000 2023-03-23 15:28:42+00:00| published-proof-of-concept| https://t.me/GithubRedTeam/4017 2023-03-25...

CVE-2019-8442

creationtimestamp| type| source ---|---|--- 2019-05-22 18:48:20+00:00| seen| https://t.me/cvemitreorg/141 2020-02-11 00:19:09+00:00| seen| https://t.me/thebugbountyhunter/3810 2020-10-02 06:57:39+00:00| published-proof-of-concept| https://t.me/cKure/2426 2024-03-18 07:23:33+00:00|...