Modeling Sparse and Bursty Vulnerability Sightings: Forecasting under Data Constraints

Understanding and anticipating vulnerability-related activity is a major challenge in cyber threat intelligence. This work investigates whether vulnerability sightings, such as proof-of-concept releases, detection templates, or online discussions, can be forecast over time. Building on our earlie...

CVE-2025-11754

creationtimestamp| type| source ---|---|--- 2026-02-20 00:20:10+00:00| seen| https://bsky.app/profile/cyberhub.blog/post/3mfatl75sbk2q 2026-02-20 01:32:06+00:00| seen| https://bsky.app/profile/thehackerwire.bsky.social/post/3mfaxls27xa2s...

CVE-2025-41677

creationtimestamp| type| source ---|---|--- 2025-07-21 10:42:10+00:00| seen| https://infosec.exchange/users/certvde/statuses/114890803062994673 2025-07-21 10:42:30+00:00| seen| https://infosec.exchange/users/certvde/statuses/114890804388115598 2025-07-21 10:46:28+00:00| seen|...

CVE-2025-6185

creationtimestamp| type| source ---|---|--- 2025-07-17 10:00:00+00:00| seen| https://www.cisa.gov/news-events/ics-advisories/icsa-25-198-01 2025-07-17 20:03:15+00:00| seen| https://bsky.app/profile/pigondrugs.bsky.social/post/3lu6pzykk2d2a 2025-07-18 02:30:28+00:00| seen|...

CVE-2025-31644

creationtimestamp| type| source ---|---|--- 2025-05-07 22:23:00+00:00| seen| https://t.me/DarkWebInformerCVEAlerts/15443 2025-05-07 23:30:25+00:00| seen| https://bsky.app/profile/2rZiKKbOU3nTafniR2qMMSE0gwZ.activitypub.awakari.com.ap.brid.gy/post/3lomkcxrvqak2 2025-05-08 00:26:17+00:00| seen|...

CVE-2025-22235

creationtimestamp| type| source ---|---|--- 2025-04-25 07:36:27+00:00| seen| https://bsky.app/profile/snicoll.be/post/3lnmplyg7ms23 2025-04-26 02:12:41+00:00| seen| https://bsky.app/profile/pmloik.bsky.social/post/3lnony6qhj42b 2025-04-28 08:10:50+00:00| seen|...

CVE-2025-43955

creationtimestamp| type| source ---|---|--- 2025-04-20 19:41:44+00:00| seen| https://bsky.app/profile/2rZiKKbOU3nTafniR2qMMSE0gwZ.activitypub.awakari.com.ap.brid.gy/post/3lnbfs7slbz42 2025-04-20 22:49:07+00:00| seen| https://bsky.app/profile/cve.skyfleet.blue/post/3lnbqbjxoj72d 2025-04-20...

CVE-2025-1048

creationtimestamp| type| source ---|---|--- 2025-04-09 03:00:00+00:00| seen| http://www.zerodayinitiative.com/advisories/ZDI-25-223/ 2025-04-23 18:48:05+00:00| seen| https://mastodon.social/users/CyberSignaler/statuses/114388768177743771 2025-04-23 20:14:34+00:00| seen|...

CVE-2025-3259

creationtimestamp| type| source ---|---|--- 2025-04-04 17:36:07+00:00| published-proof-of-concept| https://t.me/DarkWebInformerCVEAlerts/10504 2025-04-04 18:16:35+00:00| seen| https://infosec.exchange/users/cR0w/statuses/114281060422401284 2025-04-04 18:16:35+00:00| seen|...

CVE-2024-11042

creationtimestamp| type| source ---|---|--- 2025-03-20 11:40:22+00:00| seen| https://bsky.app/profile/cyberalerts.bsky.social/post/3lksmh7do2f2u 2025-04-15 21:02:25+00:00| seen| https://bsky.app/profile/beikokucyber.bsky.social/post/3lmuxxzm5tp2e...

CVE-2025-27888

creationtimestamp| type| source ---|---|--- 2025-03-19 17:38:56+00:00| seen| https://bsky.app/profile/infosec.skyfleet.blue/post/3lkqpzhrmus2b 2025-03-20 12:56:13+00:00| seen| https://infosec.exchange/users/cR0w/statuses/114194866048910223 2025-03-20 15:43:38+00:00| seen|...

CVE-2024-29409

creationtimestamp| type| source ---|---|--- 2025-03-13 20:08:52+00:00| seen| https://gist.github.com/aydinnyunus/801342361584d1491c67a820a714f53f 2025-03-14 20:46:25+00:00| seen| https://bsky.app/profile/cve.skyfleet.blue/post/3lkei5xwx342k 2025-03-14 20:53:51+00:00| seen|...

CVE-2025-24895

creationtimestamp| type| source ---|---|--- 2025-02-17 13:25:42+00:00| published-proof-of-concept| https://github.com/italia/cie-aspnetcore/security/advisories/GHSA-vq63-8f72-f486 2025-02-18 19:16:19+00:00| seen| https://bsky.app/profile/cve-notifications.bsky.social/post/3lihxwvee2w2n 2025-02-18...

CVE-2024-11771

creationtimestamp| type| source ---|---|--- 2025-02-11 15:23:30+00:00| seen| https://infosec.exchange/users/screaminggoat/statuses/113985939700497507 2025-02-11 15:25:14+00:00| seen| https://infosec.exchange/users/cve/statuses/113985946487899400 2025-02-11 15:40:14+00:00| seen|...

CVE-2024-39272

creationtimestamp| type| source ---|---|--- 2025-02-06 16:50:07+00:00| seen| https://infosec.exchange/users/cve/statuses/113957968752308211 2025-02-06 18:48:16+00:00| seen| https://mastodon.social/users/CyberSignaler/statuses/113958433252957094 2025-02-06 18:48:55+00:00| seen|...

CVE-2025-0611

creationtimestamp| type| source ---|---|--- 2025-01-22 19:03:32+00:00| seen| https://infosec.exchange/users/screaminggoat/statuses/113873558659039214 2025-01-22 20:16:01+00:00| seen| https://bsky.app/profile/cve-notifications.bsky.social/post/3lge6oshxps2e 2025-01-22 20:35:00+00:00| seen|...

CVE-2024-7097

creationtimestamp| type| source ---|---|--- 2025-01-15 12:42:27+00:00| confirmed| https://github.com/projectdiscovery/nuclei-templates/tree/main/http/cves/2024/CVE-2024-7097.yaml 2025-01-19 21:02:01+00:00| seen| https://bsky.app/profile/beikokucyber.bsky.social/post/3lg4pub2zlq2x 2025-02-02...

CVE-2024-12491

creationtimestamp| type| source ---|---|--- 2025-01-09 11:16:03+00:00| seen| https://bsky.app/profile/cve-notifications.bsky.social/post/3lfckhbws5u2m 2025-01-09 11:53:17+00:00| seen| https://bsky.app/profile/cve.skyfleet.blue/post/3lfcmjufah62k 2025-01-09 11:59:45+00:00| seen|...

CVE-2024-20146

creationtimestamp| type| source ---|---|--- 2025-01-06 03:47:55+00:00| seen| https://infosec.exchange/users/cve/statuses/113779361367368443 2025-01-06 04:15:35+00:00| seen| https://bsky.app/profile/cve-notifications.bsky.social/post/3lf2bkonc6k2a 2025-01-06 04:42:47+00:00| seen|...

CVE-2024-54094

creationtimestamp| type| source ---|---|--- 2024-12-10 14:56:02+00:00| seen| https://infosec.exchange/users/vuldb/statuses/113629106157954588 2024-12-10 16:38:09+00:00| seen| https://t.me/cvedetector/12502 2024-12-12 11:00:00+00:00| seen|...