Toward Risk Thresholds for AI-Enabled Cyber Threats: Enhancing Decision-Making under Uncertainty with Bayesian Networks

Artificial intelligence AI is increasingly being used to augment and automate cyber operations, altering the scale, speed, and accessibility of malicious activity. These shifts raise urgent questions about when AI systems introduce unacceptable or intolerable cyber risk, and how risk thresholds...

Causal Graph Profiling Via Structural Divergence for Robust Anomaly Detection in Cyber-Physical Systems

With the growing complexity of cyberattacks targeting critical infrastructures such as water treatment networks, there is a pressing need for robust anomaly detection strategies that account for both system vulnerabilities and evolving attack patterns. Traditional methods -- statistical,...

Vulnerability Assessment Combining CVSS Temporal Metrics and Bayesian Networks

Vulnerability assessment is a critical challenge in cybersecurity, particularly in industrial environments. This work presents an innovative approach by incorporating the temporal dimension into vulnerability assessment, an aspect neglected in existing literature. Specifically, this paper focuses...

Modeling Interdependent Cybersecurity Threats Using Bayesian Networks: a Case Study on In-Vehicle Infotainment Systems

Cybersecurity threats are increasingly marked by interdependence, uncertainty, and evolving complexity challenges that traditional assessment methods such as CVSS, STRIDE, and attack trees fail to adequately capture. This paper reviews the application of Bayesian Networks BNs in cybersecurity ris...